Is Tesla a good stock to buy 2023?
In 2023 Tesla doubled, easily outperforming the broader S&P 500 index. Tesla stock ranks ninth in the 35 member IBD Auto Manufacturers industry group. The stock has a 42 Composite Rating out of a best-possible 99. Tesla stock also has a 21 Relative Strength Rating and a 69 EPS Rating.
The business itself has had concerns related to vehicle pricing and a downward trend in profit margins. But in the end, Tesla stock has risen 105% this year into the final week of 2023.
Key Points. Tesla's sales growth has stalled, and its profitability is taking a hit. Even with the stock falling, shares still look expensive. Investors who buy shares today are hopeful new projects will become huge moneymakers one day.
Analysts are not too bullish on Tesla heading into 2024, given that its mean target price of $237.68 is below current prices. That said, it's quite common for Tesla to trade above its mean target price, and the stock has done so multiple times over the last few years.
Tesla is forecasting a sharp sales slowdown this year, becoming the latest car company to warn of sagging demand. Elon Musk's electric vehicle (EV) maker said growth would be "notably lower" than in 2023, when deliveries rose 38%.
Wall Street expects Tesla earnings per share of just $3.07 a share in 2024, according to FactSet. That would be a 1% decline vs. last year's $3.12. That was a 23% decline vs. 2022. Analyst project a solid increase in 2025 to $4.24 a share.
From a fiscal-2023 base, we forecast Tesla earnings per share grow at a 27% compound annual growth rate through fiscal 2030, achieving $5/share in late fiscal 2025, $10/share in late fiscal 2027, and $15/share by mid fiscal 2029.
Is Tesla stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Tesla stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 48 buy ratings, 34 hold ratings, and 11 sell ratings.
TSLA Stock Forecast FAQ
Based on analyst ratings, Tesla's 12-month average price target is $220.26. Tesla has 17.08% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Tesla has a conensus rating of Hold which is based on 12 buy ratings, 17 hold ratings and 5 sell ratings.
Stock Price Forecast
The 30 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for Tesla stock have an average target of 223.47, with a low estimate of 85 and a high estimate of 380. The average target predicts an increase of 14.06% from the current stock price of 195.93.
Why is Tesla falling so much?
In the U.S., rising labor costs and a decision by rental car company Hertz to sell off a large portion of its electric vehicle fleet also added to Tesla's woes. Late Thursday, Reuters and others reported that Tesla plans to suspend most production at its factory in Germany from around Jan.
Coming into Monday trading, Tesla shares have fallen about 24% year to date. The reporting on Musk is a small factor in the stock drop. Investors are mainly worried about weaker-than-expected growth for Tesla. The company shipped 1.8 million electric vehicles in 2023, up almost 40% from 2022.
According to our current TSLA stock forecast, the value of Tesla shares will rise by 8.41% and reach $ 209.85 per share by February 17, 2024. According to our technical indicators, the current sentiment is Bearish while the Fear & Greed Index is showing 39 (Fear).
Earnings are expected to bounce back from 2023's 25% decline to $3.06 a share. But compared with 2022, analysts see 2024 EPS down 6% to $3.83 even with revenue increasing 45% to $118.51 billion. At the start of 2023, analysts expected 2024 Tesla earnings per share at $7.07, according to FactSet.
Average Price Target
Based on 34 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla in the last 3 months. The average price target is $220.26 with a high forecast of $345.00 and a low forecast of $23.53. The average price target represents a 15.32% change from the last price of $191.00.
Tesla's Sales Slowdown
In February 2023, the company terminated dozens of employees in Buffalo, New York, who labeled data for its driver-assistance system Autopilot.
To reach $500 by 2025, Tesla needs to just about double from these price levels. Given the kind of returns that it has delivered in the past – including the 743% rise in 2020 – the price level does not seem unreasonably astronomical, and could be achieved if Tesla delivers on the 50% shipment growth and FSD.
He forecasts Tesla stock to gain about 550% to hit $1,200 a share by 2030, and for SpaceX to triple in valuation over the same period, according to a recent interview conducted by Bloomberg. Baron runs the Baron Focused Growth Fund, which counted Tesla and SpaceX as its largest holdings as of December 31, 2023.
Strength in Innovation
remains the most promising company in the auto industry,” explains Maxim Manturov, head of investment research at Freedom Finance Europe, an EU-based online broker. “Tesla's deliveries increased by 40% in 2022, and the company is on track to increase deliveries by another 37% this year.”
Elon Musk is the largest individual Tesla shareholder, holding 715.022 million shares, representing 20.6 of Tesla ownership. The Vanguard Group is Tesla's biggest institutional investor, holding 225.94 shares, representing 7% of Tesla ownership.
Does Tesla pay dividends?
Plus, Tesla does not pay a dividend to shareholders. As a result, we believe income investors looking for lower volatility should consider high-quality dividend growth stocks. The Dividend Aristocrats are a group of 68 stocks in the S&P 500 Index with 25+ consecutive years of dividend growth.
The lack of AI tailwinds for Tesla could be pushing the company's stock down further. The stock has decreased by more than 20% for the year, while its "Magnificent Seven" peers have managed to shake off a slow start to 2024.
Even Deepwater Asset Management's Gene Munster, who is far from being a Tesla bear, also sounded cautious after the company's disappointing 2024 outlook. Tesla now has a consensus rating of “Hold” from analysts, which is a markdown from the average “Moderate Buy” rating a month back.
The top 10 positions in Berkshire's stock investment portfolio include Apple, Bank of America (BAC), Chevron and Occidental Petroleum. Despite the Q4 cut to Apple stock, the iPhone maker made up 50.2% of Berkshire's portfolio at the end of December, vs. 50% at the end of September.
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